Race-by-race tips and preview for Rosehill on Saturday
by Brad GrayRACE 1 – 11.30AM: DARLEY 2YO HANDICAP (1300m)
11. Proud Mia is a little rocket and happy to gamble that they won’t be able to catch her. After trialling like she had been shot out of a cannon in November she popped up at Queanbeyan over 900m on debut a fortnight ago. She won still in second gear in what was a glorified trial. It’s a clever booking securing Louise Day, with the filly carrying just 51kg. With a 7kg difference between herself and the well-credentialed 1. Anders it’ll give her the chance to pinch it as I’d be very surprised if anything leads her.
How to play it: Proud Mia to win.
RACE 2 – 12.05PM: TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1400m)
7. Art Cadeau looks set to get on-speed favours from the low draw. The three-year-old is only three starts into his career and is two split hairs away from being undefeated. Was gunned down by Chanting at Kembla Grange last start with the third-placed Snitzify subsequently winning at Hawkesbury. This is his first crack at 1400m but all four of his half siblings have won at the mile so he should relish the extra trip. He’s had exposure to wet tracks too.
How to play it: Art Cadeau each-way.
RACE 3 – 12.40PM: MAGNIA GRECIA @ COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1200m)
9. Sally’s Day only has to repeat her last-start effort in the Denise’s Joy Stakes behind Fituese to again beat home any of those that finished behind her including 3. Satin Socks. She was thrown in the deep end on that occasion having won a Wyong BM64 prior, albeit in the manner of a three-year-old capable of progressing. The daughter of More Than Ready had shown glimpses of ability in the past but is putting it all together now and with Rachel King steering from a low draw, she shouldn’t be left with any excuses. 2. Mo’s Crown covered a stack of ground to beat Masked Crusader last start.
How to play it: Sally’s Day to win.
RACE 4 – 1.15PM: SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1500m)
4. Trumbull can be slow into stride which has proved costly lately but Nash Rawiller is the right man for the job to fire the four-year-old out of the gates. Last start he defied being poorly treated at the weights in listed company, and unsuited by the slow tempo up front, to rattle home into fourth. He clocked the second fastest last 600m all meeting. Two runs back in this same grade he just fell short of gunning down subsequent Gold Coast Guineas winner Hightail. Kim Waugh’s gelding is stepping into unknown territory out to 1500m and has limited exposure on wet tracks but convinced he is flying.
How to play it: Trumbull to win.
RACE 5 – 1.55PM: TRAPEZE ARTIST @ WIDDEN HANDICAP (1200m)
1. Noble Boy looks the logical threat to 8. Fituese and, given the price difference in the early market, have to be in the five-year-old’s corner. He ran in a listed race first-up, his first start for Clare Cunningham, and although hopelessly beaten by Dirty Work, they sprinted home very quickly so the run was better than it looked to the eye. The 1100m was a touch sharp for him, particularly on a good track. Out to 1200m on a ran-affected surface is a perfect scenario and he has drawn soft. Can he find his best again? It’d be a luxurious price if he can. Fituese is a jet but the bookies haven’t missed her and this is a very, very different set-up.
How to play it: Noble Boy to win.
RACE 6 – 2.30PM: TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY HANDICAP (1400m)
The first thing you notice about this race is how little pressure there is. 9. Riva Capri has hit the ground running for Kris Lees since coming across from NZ. Third-up over 1400m on a bigger track looks ideal now and with James McDonald riding from a low draw, expect her to settle close up which will go a long way to winning this race. Already a listed winner on a heavy track across the ditch, the wet only enhances her claims. 6. Miss Einstein seemed to carry the hopes of the nation last Saturday at Randwick and despite failing to run down Opacity, she was unsuited out the back in a slowly-run race but that’s the concern again here.
How to play it: Riva Capri each-way.
RACE 7 – 3.10PM: LORD MAYORS CUP (2000m)
There are two versions of 9. Mask Of Time: the dry track version and the wet track version. When the six-year-old finds his preferred soft or heavy track he has shown in the past that you can scrap any recent runs on firmer surfaces. There are a stack of potential scratchings in this race so keep an eye on how many go-forward horses we lose as Mask Of Time will be asked to slide forward from the wide draw. With 54kg and the potential to be in a controlling position outside of the lead, he’s worth an each-way ticket. 18. Bottega dips his toe into black type against older horses while
16. Aliferous finally draws a gate.
How to play it: Mask Of Time each-way.
RACE 8 – 3.50PM: EXCEEDANCE @ VINERY HANDICAP (1300m)
8. Mr Dependable looks ready to go first-up off two 1000m trials and he finds a race without a great deal of pressure, at least on paper. The lightly-raced four-year-old put his rivals to the sword first and second-up last preparation, and Rocha Clock ran second in the latter of those. The son of Reliable Man was then rolled at $1.50 at Randwick out to 1800m but went way too quick in front so was entitled to be run over late. 1. Irish Songs is flying at the moment, chasing three straight wins and there’s a case to be made that his wet-track runs have been the best of his career too. 4. Ljungberg is another one who loves wet tracks.
How to play it: Mr Dependable to win.
RACE 9 – 4.30PM: IRON JACK HANDICAP (1100m)
1. Agent Pippa didn’t get a yelp in the listed Hawkesbury Gold Rush first-up but she is a control freak and her race was over in the first 100 metres when Villami crossed her. The speedy four-year-old comfortably won a BM78 last preparation before being gunned down by Glenall and Southern Lad in a small field on the Kensington track, jumping $3.20. She is the forgotten runner here off a forgive first-up. 6. Adelong improved sharply second-up this track and trip a fortnight ago to gap her rivals, showing brilliant acceleration from outside of the lead. That’s now four wins from six starts and her third-up win last preparation was the best of her campaign so expect her to peak now.
How to play it: Agent Pippa to win and save Adelong.
Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au