The wealthy will be on governments' radars in COVID-19 response
Taxes will be an obvious route for governments, and so will appropriation, says Citi
by BloombergLondon: From the Black Monday market crash to the bursting of the dot-com bubble to the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Citigroup Inc.'s Luigi Pigorini has lived through plenty of economic crises.
Still, he hasn't seen a downturn as rapid as the one spawned by the novel coronavirus. And as nations seek to recoup the cost of the pandemic, the result will likely be that some of the world's biggest fortunes end up in the crosshairs, he said.
"Wealth will become much more significant to any country's economic and policy solutions," said Pigorini, the London-based region head for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Citigroup's private bank. "It could be by taxation.
"It could be by coordination with the people who have the wealth. And it could be by expropriation."
The pandemic, which is heightening concerns over inequality, has prompted Wall Street titans to predict tax hikes, as well. Central banks are pumping money into their economies as stimulus, repeating their response to the 2008 financial crisis that helped the rich become even richer.
Pigorini spoke about his outlook for the wealthy, his career at Citigroup and the secret to securing new clients.
How are clients reacting to the pandemic?
Human nature is a little unpredictable, especially when you're dealing with private clients and families. Very few - a handful - sold down their equity positions in March, while a few increased their positions and have obviously done well.
After that initial frenzy, clients are now are reallocating and reassessing, and not just their financial portfolio. Death is suddenly now a lot more visible. People - especially very wealthy, perhaps elderly - do realize that they're not immortal and how they'd better do something about their succession, inheritance and distribution of family assets.
As a result, there's a lot of conversations happening about the unexpected.
Are you looking for more clients right now?
When a family becomes a client of the private bank, they tend to do a lot with us, so we don't need to grow a huge amount, though we would still like to grow. For us, it's much more important about the type of client than the number.
We usually bring in clients by word of mouth. At the moment, the ability to attract new prospects is essentially limited. If you've never spoken to someone before, you're not going to call them up now, so it's about revisiting past leads and focusing on clients that maybe haven't had that much of a chance to increase their position with us.
We call them "underpenetrated clients".
Obviously, you have to be able to add value and provide solutions, but it's all about persistence, and most successful teams in the private-banking industry have that. It sounds simple, but not everybody has it.
Luigi Pigorini of Citigroup
What's the outlook for the super-wealthy?
Individual wealth and family wealth will become much more of a part of any country's economic policy going forward. Whether this is right, I really don't know, but clients are aware now more than ever of the fact they are extremely privileged and perhaps how their wealth can help other people.
They're also talking more about responsible capitalism, and they're also worried about social tensions.
How is the pandemic affecting your events?
We've canceled all physical events, and we're substituting some with virtual ones. For example, we're currently working on our Family Office Leadership Programme. Some of it will be pre-prepared, with us recording speakers before, and some of it will be live.
A virtual event allows more clients to attend, and it's a lot cheaper. But you might lose out on a certain connectivity you've built up. In-person conferences are often great because the debate shifts from the podium to the audience, and clients discuss their views among themselves. But who knows? Maybe a virtual conference is actually better.