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BEIJING, CHINA - APRIL 07: Chinese commuters wear protective masks as they cross a footbridge during rush hour in the central business district on April 7, 2020 in Beijing, China. China recorded for the first time since January 21st no coronavirus-related deaths. With the pandemic hitting hard across the world, officially the number of coronavirus cases in China is dwindling, ever since the government imposed sweeping measures to keep the disease from spreading. For more than two months, millions of people across China have been restricted in how they move from their homes, while other cities have been locked down in ways that appeared severe at the time but are now being replicated in other countries trying to contain the virus. Officials believe the worst appears to be over in China, though there are concerns of another wave of infections as the government attempts to reboot the worlds second largest economy. In Beijing, it is mandatory to wear masks outdoors, some retail stores still operate on reduced hours, restaurants employ social distancing among patrons, and tourist attractions at risk of drawing large crowds remain closed or allow only limited access. Monitoring and enforcement of virus-related measures and the quarantine of anyone arriving to Beijing is carried out by neighborhood committees and a network of Communist Party volunteers who wear red arm bands. Since January, China has recorded more than 81,000 cases of COVID-19 and at least 3200 deaths, mostly in and around the city of Wuhan, in central Hubei province, where the outbreak first started. (Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)

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Firma Penganalisis Terkemuka (EIU) Berpendapat Ekonomi Tidak Akan Pulih Sehingga Tahun 2022?

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Pada hari ini, sebuah badan terkemuka iaitu Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) telah mengeluarkan laporan mengenai unjuran KNDK pada masa akan datang. Menurut EIU, KDNK global tidak akan kembali pada paras yang dikecapi semasa sebelum penularan wabak Covid-19.

Perintah berkurung yang dikenakan oleh pemerintah telah menyebabkan aktiviti ekonomi terhenti. Bagi menghambat masalah ini, pemerintah terpaksa melancarkan rangsangan fiskal jutaan dolar bagi membantu sektor-sektor ekonomi yang terkesan.

Tambah EIU, pemerintah negara-negara maju cenderung membelanjakan perbelanjaan awam dengan nilai jumlah yang lebih tinggi dan hal ini telah meningkatkan hutang awam negara. Justeru tidak hairan jika kita menyaksikan peningkatan yang tinggi dalam hutang awam pada tahun ini.

Laporan tersebut turut menyatakan bahawa kerajaan berkemungkinan tidak dapat mengendalikan defisit fiskal ini melalui pemotongan perbelanjaan negara. Antara tindakan yang mungkin dilakukan oleh kerajaan iala meningkatkan hasil fiskal melalui peningkatan cukai pendapatan korporat dan individu.

Bagi Zon Eropah, ahli ekonomi EIU mengingatkan bahwa negara maju di zon Eropah berkemungkinan akan kembali kepada fasa krisis hutang 9 tahun lalu. Negara seperti Sepanyol dan Itali adalah antara negara Eropah yang akan terjejas teruk disebabkan pandemik Covid-19.

Atas dasar itu, bank pusat Eropah telah mengambil tindakan pantas dengan mengumumkan pakej rangsangan bagi membendung Zon Eropah terhimpit dalam situasi krisis hutang sekali lagi.