Mark Carney sees silver lining in Brexit hit to economy
by Angharad CarrickMark Carney has said there may be a silver lining to the Brexit hit to the economy and welcomes the Prime Minister’s plans to address weak productivity.
Speaking to Reuters, the Bank of England (BoE) governor said that there are some potential upsides for the economy from Brexit.
Read more: Bank of England’s Mark Carney says infrastructure investment needed to boost growth
“In an environment where everything is getting a fresh look, it’s fertile ground for taking a step back and making bigger changes than otherwise might have been made”.
Following his election win, PM Boris Johnson has signalled that he wants regions where growth is further behind London to “level up”.
This week he gave the green light to HS2 which is likely to cost up to £100bn.
“It’s early days but there are several initiatives – the budget will be telling – that suggest that some of these opportunities are being grasped,” Carney said.
The new chancellor Rishi Sunak has three weeks to complete the budget after the shock resignation of Sajid Javid.
It is unclear whether the Treasury will keep Javid’s fiscal rules to allow an extra £22bn public sector net investment a year.
Following the referendum, Carney, who will leave the BoE after seven years next month, had warned that Britain’s economy was likely to suffer as a result of Brexit.
Last year he warned that the UK would be hit by an “instantaneous” economic shockwave if Britain did not strike a deal with the EU.
He said that there would not only be disruption at Britain’s borders, but such a situation would render a “substantial number” of businesses “no longer economic”.
Despite these warnings Carney has now said Brexit could prove to be a “conceptual positive”.
“It is a major reordering of our relationship not just with the European Union but our trading relationships with the rest of the world and it is prompting a reassessment of economic policy, structural economic policy in the country.”
Read more: BoE governor Mark Carney to advise PM on climate change
Carney accepted the so-called Boris bounce which has seen increased business optimism, particularly in the property and construction sectors.
“We are already seeing a rebound in confidence, business confidence and to some extent a firming of consumer confidence,” the governor told Reuters.
Sign up to City A.M.’s Midday Update newsletter, delivered to your inbox every lunchtime