Dickey: San Pasqual longshot leads 5 Saturday price plays

Both Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita Park offer stakes-laden cards Saturday, with the features headlined by some solid favorites. But I'll try to beat a few, or in some instances find some high-priced board hitters, with these five horses.

Santa Anita Race 8: San Pasqual (G2) 1 1/8 miles; 7 p.m. ET Live Longshot - No. 8 Two Thirty Five (8-1) In one of the most interesting betting races of the day, I'm going to effort to hit a trifecta with Two Thirty Five used in all three spots. He's looking to turn the tables on No. 5 Midcourt, who won Del Mar's Native Diver (G3) when they last met in November. Two Thirty Five comes in off a layoff but previously returned from breaks at a level at or near his previous race. Midcourt went on to run once more after the Native Diver, losing the San Antonio Stakes (G2) to put him on the opposite side of a form cycle. I prefer the contender here with higher odds and upside. The other horses I'll use in the trifecta include No. 5 Midcourt, No. 3 Restrainedvengence, and No. 4 King Abner. The following $1 trifecta tickets total $18: 3,4,8 with 3,4,5,8 with 3,4,5,8. Keying Two Thirty Five on top of the other three only costs $6. Gulfstream Race 8: Sweetest Chant (G3) One mile on turf; 3:34 p.m. ET Live Longshot - No. 4 Cheermeister (10-1) Chad Brown's No. 7 Moral Reasoning figures to go favored, but Cheermeister ran the worst race of her short career last out and is 10-1 on the morning line. Trainer Armando De La Cerda keeps jockey Emisael Jaramillo in the saddle, and that rider went into Friday fourth in the local meet standings with 38 victoriesm ranking behind only Irad Ortiz Jr., Luis Saez and Paco Lopez. Unlike last race, this filly projects to be forwardly-placed, as she was in her first two starts where her speed figures are comparable to Saturday's favorite. As long as there's a manageable early pace, this one could win in front-running fashion at a nice price. And if she gets nipped at the wire by the favorite, she'd represent nice value underneath. Gulfstream Race 9: Swale Stakes (G3) 7 furlongs; 4:04 p.m. ET Value Play - No. 1 Mischievious Alex (7-2) Three horses in this seven-furlong stakes race have eyes on the Kentucky Derby trail as No. 2 Untitled, No. 4 Green Light Go and No. 6 Necker Island look to use this race as a springboard to longer events. No. 1 Mischievous Alex has a shot to upset from the rail. He ended his 2-year-old campaign with a romp in stakes company at Parx, where he earned impressive numbers in terms of speed figures that match or exceed the aforementioned contenders. He is coming in off an 88-day layoff in preparation for his sophomore campaign. Seven-furlong races, even ones with expected brisk early paces, aren't the worst spots to try to shake off rust, and bettors may gravitate to horses they like in the long-term, not on the day. A forward move by John Servis' Into Mischief colt puts him right in the mix in an event where he could go overlooked at the windows. Gulfstream Race 10: Dania Beach Stakes One mile on turf; 4:34 p.m. ET Live Longshot - No. 10 Get Smokin (12-1) This race doesn't contain a clear-cut favorite, presenting the opportunity to play a double-digit price. I'm on team Jaramillo in the Dania Beach as well with him on the contender could lull the others to sleep on the front end. Although he was only beaten by a half length last out, this Get Stormy gelding looks like a "needs the lead" type, but he should have no problem getting out front with this group. A wire-to-wire winner at double digit odds would be a good way to bridge into the Holy Bull, so use Get Smokin in doubles to your Holy Bull choice. Note that Get Smokin had his worst race result on a turf course listed as "good," and there is rain in the forecast in South Florida. Santa Anita Race 7: San Marcos Stakes (G2) 1 ¼ miles on turf; 6:30 p.m. ET Value Play - No. 5 Brown Storm (6-1) There will be a heavy favorite in this race as No. 4 United returns to the same 1 1/2-mile trip over which he finished second in the Breeders' Cup Turf. Not a lot of early speed signed on for this one, and the pace scenario seems muddled, leaning toward extremely slow. I normally don't like to give excuses for a horse in back-to-back races, as those that cause their own trouble will more than likely continue to do so, but Brown Storm is the exception. The Chilean import who won multiple stakes back home will be a massive overlay here in a third North American start for the Michael McCarthy barn. I prefer to use him underneath, but not underneath United. I'm tabbing No. 7 Oscar Dominguez as the one to beat. Play Nos. 5 and 7 in an exacta box excluding the favorite.